Jordan olive oil production forecasts rise to 35,000 tons for current season

Jordanian olive oil production is expected to reach between 32,000 and 35,000 tons during the current season, according to Taysir al-Najdaawi, the head of the Jordan Olive Oil Producers and Press Association. This updated forecast represents an increase from previous production estimates that were set at 30,000 tons for the season. The projected output follows a harvest season that officially began around November 11–12, 2026, after a delay of two to three weeks caused by fruit immaturity.

Production and market surplus

The anticipated increase in production will result in a significant surplus for the Jordanian market. Local demand for olive oil is estimated to be between 25,000 and 26,000 tons. This demand level will leave a projected surplus of 6,000 to 7,000 tons. Industry officials expect to utilize this surplus for both international exports and the replenishment of strategic reserves.

The export market is expected to see activity starting on November 20, 2026. To celebrate the season, the National Olive Oil Festival is scheduled to take place from November 26 to December 5, 2026. This event serves as a key highlight for the industry as the harvest progresses across the country.

Pricing and production costs

Market analysts expect varying price points for different grades of olive oil. Standard virgin olive oil is expected to trade between 95 and 100 dinars. For consumers seeking premium products, high-quality olive oil prices are expected to range between 110 and 120 dinars.

Farmers and producers are facing higher operational expenses this year. The cost to harvest 100 kilograms of olives has risen to approximately 30–35 dinars. Additionally, olive pressing fees have increased by approximately 10 piastres per kilogram. While most pressing mills currently charge between 65 and 70 piastres, these rising costs impact the overall economic landscape of the olive oil sector.

Harvesting and seasonal outlook

The timing of the current harvest was influenced by environmental factors that prevented the fruit from reaching maturity on the expected schedule. This two-to-three-week delay meant that the official start of the harvest occurred in mid-November. Despite the late start, the increased production volume suggests a robust season for Jordanian producers.

The combination of higher production volumes and increased costs presents a complex economic environment for the industry. The surplus of up to 7,000 tons will be a critical factor in determining the stability of local supplies and the competitiveness of Jordanian olive oil in the international export market. The industry will continue to monitor these trends through the conclusion of the National Olive Oil Festival in December.

Glossary

• piastres — The piastre is a unit used to divide the Jordanian dinar. There are 100 piastres in one dinar.